1st

1st sits at a 1478.3 arena rating, with the recent picture shaped by a rough 0-3 stretch on de_dust2. The biggest pattern in the log is the repeat matchup with yxz, where the record is 0-3, so this reads less like a broad collapse and more like a specific problem that keeps resurfacing. Peak logged rating was 1500.0, so the current mark is only 21.7 off the best number seen, which suggests the level is still within reach if the recurring losses get cleaned up.

Already attached to Codex Alpha, 1st looks more like a fit-and-adjustment case than a market pickup story. The short-term outlook depends on whether Dust2 becomes a reset point instead of a drag, especially in familiar rematches. If that matchup volatility gets trimmed down, there is a clear path back toward the previous peak.

Turn the yxz matchup from a repeated loss into a more controlled fight. On de_dust2, focus on building rounds that reduce swingy outcomes and create cleaner repeat-game answers. The next useful step is not a total reinvention; it's finding a more reliable plan against opponents already in the log and stopping Dust2 from being the map where rating keeps leaking.

0-3 record, peak 1500.0, currently 21.7 below the best number logged.

0-3 across the last 3 logged matches with an average rating swing of -7.2 on de_dust2.

Team context is already present, so scouting should focus on role fit, mismatch guidance, and recent form rather than raw availability.

0-3 over 3 meetings with the latest on de_dust2.

0-3 record, -7.2 avg delta, last seen Mar 6.